<div dir="ltr">I think it's far too early to make any blanket statements around the potential impact on development at a regional scale. The whole situation is too new and far too nuanced. <div><br></div><div>We'll need to look at real vs paper compliance, community type, development history, comparison to development in non-3A areas, and look at it through the lens that with everyone upzoning at once, it's a more level playing field. So we could theorize that if 3A never happened and Newton upzoned this area independently to build by-right, it may have attracted much more interest.</div><div><br></div><div>For the time being, it's going to continue to be a mixed bag.<br><br>In some communities, there will be little initial growth. In others, we're seeing more of it,here's an example of what's happening in Lexington <a href="https://www.bostonglobe.com/2024/12/03/business/lexington-mbta-communities-housing/">https://www.bostonglobe.com/2024/12/03/business/lexington-mbta-communities-housing/</a> where there's a thousand units in the pipeline under 3A. Everett is also seeing lots of units from large developments get built in their 3A overlay zone "the commercial triangle", albeit that was in an area that was already targeted for redevelopment and lots of redevelopment had been happening there prior to 3A zoning. <div><br><br></div></div></div><br><div class="gmail_quote gmail_quote_container"><div dir="ltr" class="gmail_attr">On Wed, Feb 12, 2025 at 11:01 AM Jeffrey Robert Levine via MassPlanners <<a href="mailto:massplanners@masscptc.org">massplanners@masscptc.org</a>> wrote:<br></div><blockquote class="gmail_quote" style="margin:0px 0px 0px 0.8ex;border-left:1px solid rgb(204,204,204);padding-left:1ex"><div class="msg6428638626505974532">




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I found this interesting analysis of what has happened under the VCOD zoning changes in Newton that suggests that
<a href="https://www.newtonbeacon.org/from-floodgates-to-trickle-vcod-saw-a-remarkably-slow-start-in-2024/" id="m_6428638626505974532LPlnk827093" title="https://www.newtonbeacon.org/from-floodgates-to-trickle-vcod-saw-a-remarkably-slow-start-in-2024/" target="_blank">
upzoning does not immediately result in the amount of new development some expect.</a></div>
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Given all the MBTA Community Act changes, and other rezoning happening in various communities, does anyone know of any similar studies in other communities? Anyone think the study I link to is fatally flawed?</div>
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thanks,</div>
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Jeff</div>
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<p style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt"><span style="font-family:Calibri,sans-serif;font-size:11pt">Jeff Levine, AICP (he/him)</span></p>
<p style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt"><span style="font-family:Calibri,sans-serif;font-size:11pt">Associate Professor of the Practice</span></p>
<p style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt"><span style="font-family:Calibri,sans-serif;font-size:11pt">Program Head, Housing, Community & Economic Development</span></p>
<p style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt"><span style="font-family:Calibri,sans-serif;font-size:11pt">Department of Urban Studies & Planning</span></p>
<p style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt"><span style="font-family:Calibri,sans-serif;font-size:11pt">Room 9-511</span></p>
<p style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt"><span style="font-family:Calibri,sans-serif;font-size:11pt;color:rgb(5,99,193)"><u><a href="mailto:jrlevine@mit.edu" style="color:rgb(5,99,193);margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:0px" target="_blank">jrlevine@mit.edu</a></u></span></p>
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<p style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt"><span style="font-family:Calibri,sans-serif;font-size:11pt">Levine, J. (2021). Leadership in Planning: How to Communicate Ideas and Effect Positive Change (1st ed.). Routledge.
</span><span style="font-family:Calibri,sans-serif;font-size:11pt;color:rgb(5,99,193)"><u><a href="https://doi.org/10.4324/9780429279287" style="color:rgb(5,99,193);margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:0px" target="_blank">https://doi.org/10.4324/9780429279287</a></u></span><span style="font-family:Calibri,sans-serif;font-size:11pt">
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</div></blockquote></div><div><br clear="all"></div><div><br></div><span class="gmail_signature_prefix">-- </span><br><div dir="ltr" class="gmail_signature"><div dir="ltr"><div><div dir="ltr">John Cruz, AICP<br><a href="mailto:john@cruzweb.net" target="_blank">john@cruzweb.net</a> | 314-688-6463<br><a href="http://www.urbanistdispatch.com/" target="_blank"></a><div>Misplaced Focus - <a href="http://www.misplacedfocus.com/" target="_blank">www.misplacedfocus.com</a><br><div><a href="http://www.linkedin.com/in/johncarloscruz" title="View public profile" name="SignatureSanitizer_SafeHtmlFilter_UNIQUE_ID_SafeHtmlFilter_UNIQUE_ID_SafeHtmlFilter_SafeHtmlFilter_webProfileURL" style="margin:0px 10px 0px 0px;padding:0px 0px 0px 19px;border:0px;outline:none;font-size:11px;font-family:Arial,Helvetica,"Nimbus Sans L",sans-serif;vertical-align:middle;text-decoration:initial;color:rgb(0,115,178);display:inline-block;background-image:url("http://static02.linkedin.com/scds/common/u/img/sprite/sprite_profile_top_card_v4.png");background-color:rgb(246,246,246);line-height:13px;background-repeat:no-repeat" target="_blank">www.linkedin.com/in/johncarloscruz</a></div></div></div></div></div></div>